Samstag, 12. Januar 2019

Everything will pass away and the stock markets will rise

Trump, China and Brexit. There is no lack of problems. And if there is nothing or everything is already known, then something is still found, then it is called "crisis" instead of trade dispute. Crisis is a great word, all market participants react to it. It is a word that is associated with everything negative in this world.

But is it only today that there are crises? Only in our present problems? Are these unsolvable?
If we look at the past, it's a spectacle right now what's happening. The world has been through some crises, crises that really were crises!

That is why we look optimistically and objectively at the situations and challenges of our time. In my opinion, we have three challenges right now:


  1. trade dispute
  2. Budget freeze (USA)
  3. Global economic concerns

1.Trade dispute


We need to look first, analyze. Who argues with whom? There are two states - states don't argue, sometimes just can't agree and then have to find a compromise, or they avoid each other (due to a large volume of trade this is unlikely and simply not feasible for the USA and China). So? What will and must happen? Yes, they will agree. That is the only possibility. It may take longer, but why shouldn't they agree? It harms both sides and also does not please the stock exchanges of both countries, both lose. With the easing of the trade dispute, the stock markets will also start to rise again. 

2.Budget freeze

I don't want to write much about it, because in my opinion it won't take much longer until you reach an agreement. Trump won't have it easy in the election campaign if it takes even longer. Now the voters understand it, it is his election promise to build a wall to Mexico, but after a while the people will no longer understand it. Mr Trump knows that! Instead of commenting we should look and we will see that both sides will come closer.

3.Global economic concerns

The most difficult subject. I believe that with the relaxation in the two points I mentioned earlier, the consumers of this world, together with investors, will again dare to spend money. Above all, it is the mood that gives you the impression that the economy is slowing down. But: we are doing well. The economy is growing. The American economy is very robust, there is enough money on the market and unemployment is low. The best conditions for growth.





DennisDurmas

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